Surya Nepal Pvt Ltd.
Business Opportunity Assessment Report

Comapny Tpye: Manufacturer (OEM)

Main products: Unmanufactured tobacco, Tobacco waste, Paperboard packaging

Report Creation Date: 2026-04-04

Company Snapshot

SURYA NEPAL PVT. LTD. is a Nepal-based tobacco manufacturing company headquartered in Kathmandu, operating as a domestic manufacturer with strong export-oriented activity. It functions primarily as a supplier in cross-border B2B trade, sourcing raw and processed tobacco materials for downstream industrial users. Its supply chain is structurally concentrated — over 99% of transactions occur with Indian buyers, and nearly all shipments move via the Raxaul land border crossing. A notable shift occurred in early 2025, when monthly transaction volumes surged above 1 million units (e.g., 1.415M in May 2025), signaling intensified operational scale or new contract execution.

Company Attribute Information

Trade Trend Analysis

Data interpretation reveals extreme volatility in monthly shipment volumes — ranging from ~97K to 1.42M units — with no consistent seasonal pattern but clear spikes in Q1–Q2 2025 (May and April 2025 peak at 1.415M and 1.303M units respectively). This suggests responsiveness to contractual demand surges rather than steady production cycles. The concentration of high-volume months in early-to-mid 2025 points to a recent commercial expansion or consolidation of supply agreements. High volatility without underlying seasonality indicates exposure to short-term procurement cycles and limited inventory buffering — a structural vulnerability to buyer-side demand shocks.

Year-Month Transaction Volume Transaction Count
2026-02 339,169 160
2026-01 305,151 174
2025-12 1,028,530 259
2025-11 322,962 143
2025-10 434,798 143
2025-09 827,471 269
2025-06 535,445 207
2025-05 1,415,500 273
2025-04 1,302,520 222
2025-03 458,876 171

Trade Partner Analysis

Data interpretation shows overwhelming dominance by ITC Limited (India), accounting for 67.65% of all transactions — far exceeding any other partner. The top 20 partners are all India-based, with no diversification across countries or industries: all are industrial suppliers (adhesives, beltings, metallising, engineering). This reflects a tightly coupled, single-market dependency, where relationship depth correlates strongly with longevity (e.g., ITC’s sustained activity since at least 2023) and volume share. This near-total reliance on one buyer and one country creates acute counterparty and geopolitical risk — any regulatory, tariff, or logistical disruption between Nepal and India would directly impair operational continuity.

Trade Partner Name Transaction Count % of Total Country Status
ITC 4,642 67.65% India Active
BM Beltings Co 265 3.86% India Active
Manish Enterprises 110 1.60% India Active
Mill Stores 104 1.52% India Active
General Metallisers Ltd. 85 1.24% India Active
Gampa Alcoats Ltd. 70 1.02% India Active
Henkel Adhesive Technologies 68 0.99% India Active
H.B. Fuller Adhesives LLC 68 0.99% India Active
Tekno Spares 63 0.92% India Active
Franstek Belts Pvt Ltd. 62 0.90% India Active

HS Code Analysis

Data interpretation highlights that HS 24012010 (unmanufactured tobacco, cured leaf) dominates both volume and strategic focus — representing over one-third of all transactions and consistently active through 2026. Secondary codes (e.g., 48239090 — paperboard packaging; 48109900 — coated paper) suggest integrated packaging supply, likely serving tobacco product assembly. The presence of machinery-related codes (e.g., 84229090 — packaging machines; 84789000 — parts of machinery) implies limited vertical integration into equipment servicing — possibly maintenance support for client facilities. This product mix confirms a core identity as a tobacco raw material supplier with adjacent packaging capabilities — not a branded consumer goods player, but an industrial input provider embedded in India’s tobacco value chain.

HS Code Transaction Count % of Total Latest Transaction Status
24012010 2,521 36.69% 2026-02-28 Active
48239090 835 12.15% 2026-02-28 Active
48109900 414 6.03% 2026-02-28 Active
24013000 354 5.15% 2026-02-25 Active
48239014 205 2.98% 2026-02-24 Active
84229090 160 2.33% 2026-01-13 Active
48119099 155 2.26% 2026-02-23 Active
40103999 155 2.26% 2026-02-16 Active
39269099 112 1.63% 2026-02-16 Active
84789000 111 1.62% 2026-02-03 Active

Trade Region Analysis

Data interpretation confirms total market concentration: India accounts for 99.72% of all trade activity, with only 19 transactions recorded with Vietnam over three years — all inactive since March 2025. There is zero evidence of engagement with ASEAN, EU, Middle East, Africa, or Americas markets. This reflects not just preference but structural constraint: geographic proximity, shared infrastructure (e.g., Raxaul border), and regulatory alignment (e.g., SAFTA framework) make India the default and de facto exclusive market. Such absolute regional monoculture eliminates geographic hedging — making the company operationally inseparable from India’s domestic tobacco policy, import regulations, and customs clearance efficiency.

Trade Region Transaction Count % of Total Latest Transaction Status
India 6,852 99.72% 2026-02-28 Active
Vietnam 19 0.28% 2025-03-17 Inactive

Export Port Analysis

Data interpretation shows near-total reliance on Raxaul (92.06% of transactions), the primary land port connecting Nepal’s Terai region to Bihar, India — confirming tight logistical integration with India’s northern industrial belt. Jogbani (7.4%) serves as a secondary corridor, also in Bihar. All air and sea-linked ports (e.g., Bangalore Air, Cat Lai, Delhi Air) appear sporadic and inactive since 2024, indicating land-based, low-value-per-unit commodity logistics — consistent with bulk tobacco shipments. This port concentration reinforces systemic vulnerability: any closure or congestion at Raxaul — due to weather, political unrest, or customs delays — would halt >90% of outbound shipments immediately.

Export Port Transaction Count % of Total Latest Transaction Status
Raxaul 4,369 92.06% 2026-02-28 Active
Jogbani 351 7.40% 2026-02-24 Active
Banbasa 15 0.32% 2025-06-20 New
LCS Nepalgunj Road 2 0.04% 2025-09-25 New
Bangalore Air 4 0.08% 2024-08-24 Inactive
Cat Lai 3 0.06% 2024-08-02 Inactive
Cang Cat Lai (HCM) 1 0.02% 2024-09-17 Inactive
Delhi Air 1 0.02% 2024-02-14 Inactive

Contact Information

Company Trade Summary

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